@Article{CavalcantiCastRaiaOliv:2004:InInVa,
author = "Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque and Castro, C. and
Raia, A. and Oliveira, E.",
title = "Interannual and intraseasonal variability over south america in
model simulations",
journal = "European Meteorological Society",
year = "2004",
volume = "1",
abstract = "Seasonal prediction using results of global and regional models is
performed monthly at CPTEC/INPE in Brazil, and previous studies
have shown that there is different predictability in different
areas of South America. The models show higher skill in the
tropical and extratropical regions than in the subtropical region
of South America, which is a transition region, between the
tropical regime and the middle latitude regime. The AGCM
CPTEC/COLA and the regional Eta model are used to the predictions,
in ensemble integrations. In this study, climate simulations from
both models are used to analyse the interannual and intraseasonal
variability over several areas of South America. ENSO features and
intraseasonal variability related to MJO and PSA pattern are
discussed and compared to observations. Opposite relations in
precipitation between north/northeast and south/southwest South
America, found in observations, are represented by themodel in the
interannual and intraseasonal timescale. Additional results from
experiments using different CO2 concentration in climate
simulations are analysed to identify changes in the interannual
and intraseasonal variability over South America.",
copyholder = "SID/SCD",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Interannual tropical rainfall variability in general circulation
model simulations associated with the atmospheric model
intercomparison project.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "12 maio 2024"
}